Title:
From statistics to trust: Psychology in transition
Author:
Jan Smedslund
University of Oslo, Norway
Published:
New Ideas in Psychology, 15 December 2020
Abstract:
Modern psychology has aimed at being a natural science. This has been difficult because psychological processes are influenced by indefinitely complex, irreversibly changing contexts. Attempting to circumvent these obstacles, one has resorted to a group level methodology yielding small statistical differences and correlations that fail to provide sufficient support for theoretical and practical advance. Turning from this “psycho-demography” to person-centered psychology involves a change from statistical analysis of group-averages to logical analyses of personal communications, and from studying causation (what leads to what?) to studying implication (what follows from what?) also called psycho-logic. Since communications depend on trust, this replaces statistics, both in research and practice. It is concluded that psychology can only be about the concrete, and that future advances may lie in developing psycho-logic in terms of semantic non-numerical computer algorithms.